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*Good morning/afternoon everyone!*
At the start of the North American trading session, there has yet to be any little consistency in the U.S. dollar’s performance but as the session progresses, we should start to see some moves especially with US yields falling. The USD should slip against JPY and GBP, which is benefitting from very strong data. Sterling is the best performing currency this morning thanks to a hotter PMI services report that has lifted the pair across the board. It should only be a matter of time before 1.3400 is broken. The other currencies are struggling with AUD and CAD leading the slide. AUD declined after the RBA rate decision because policymakers emphasized the need for unchanged policy to spur growth and inflation. They also expressed concerns about low inflation and US-China trade tensions. CAD is being hit by the same trade concerns. EUR is hampered by softer data – PMI services was revised lower and retail sales came in much weaker than expected. The U.S. non-manufacturing ISM report is the main focus today in the NY session and given the strength of NFPs, the risk is to the upside for the release.
*The MAIN THEMES I see today are*
+GBP, +CHF, +JPY
-USD, -AUD, -CAD
mildly -EUR and -NZD
*Today’s Initial Trades*
Here’s the summary –
1. Bought USDCAD at 1.2975, Stop at 1.2947, Target 1.3000
2. Sell EURJPY at 128.24, Stop at 128.52, Target 127.96
3. Buy EURAUD at 1.5337, Stop at 1.5309, Target 1.5365
Close ALL open day trades by 10:20AM NY / 15:20 GMT