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New Highs For GBP/NZD? (Click on Chart to Zoom In)
Today the RBNZ backed away from committing to a rate hike at the next meeting in March while the Fed stood firm and tapered another 10 Billion maintaining its tightening stance. That suggests that risk currencies such as the kiwi may be in for a correction as trader temper their expectations. It is no surprise why RBNZ held back today. With EM crisis exploding and its currency still at very high levels the last thing the New Zealand monetary authorities want to do is push the unit even higher. Meanwhile cable has been holding up very well and despite repeated dovish commentary from Governor Carney, the market is convinced that the BoE will raise rates ahead of the Fed. All of this suggests that the GBP/NZD pair could be headed to new highs over the next week as trader rotate out of kiwi and into the poound.
GBP/NZD is within reach of the yearly highs and a break above the 2.0300 level puts the pair on path towards 2.0500 while 2.000 now offers solid support.