Archive for Kathy Lien

Video: My Favorite EUR Trades

Was on Bloomberg TV this afternoon talking about how to trade the Euro – my favorite trades are EURJPY and EURGBP

Table – EZ Economy and Perf Since Last ECB Mtg

The European Central Bank is gearing up for a monetary policy announcement tomorrow. Based on the following table, which shows broad based weakness in the EZ economy since the May meeting, they need to ease. Whether it happens now or in July is still an open question, but the central bank can’t sit [...]

RBA Meeting Preview: Changes in Economy

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy announcement is in just a few hours! For the second month in a row, the RBA is expected to ease but economists are divided on a 25 vs. 50bp move. Here’s a table showing how Australian data fared since the last meeting. As you can see, weakness [...]

Chart: EURUSD and 10 Yr Spanish Yields

There’s been a lot of talk about Spanish 10 year bond yields rising to 7 percent. We’ve been at higher levels in 2011 but at that time the EUR/USD was trading much higher. 7 percent is a critical level because that is the rate that pushed Greece, Portugal and Ireland to beg for [...]

Talking with CNBC Asia about ECB and EUR

I was on CNBC Asia last week talking about how proactive the ECB will be in light of Europe’s sovereign debt troubles. Sorry for the late post!

Latest Central Bank Expectations: RBA to Cut 125bp?!

Here are the latest central bank rate cut/hike expectations. Nothing priced in for the Fed, BoE or ECB (though I expect the latter two to pull the trigger on more stimulus in the coming months).
RBA – Investors are pricing in 125bp of easing from the Reserve Bank of Australia by the end of [...]

BNN: USD, EUR, JPY Outlook

Was on the Business News Network talking about the outlook for the U.S. dollar, Euro and Japanese Yen. Click on the image to access the video:

Does Sell in May, Go Away Apply to EUR?

There is a very old saying in the stock market that goes “Sell in May, and Go Away.” This pertains to the notion that investors should cash in on their investments this month and take the summer off because June, July, August and September have traditionally been some of the worst months in the equity [...]

Look at Australian Economy Ahead of RBA

The Reserve Bank of Australia is gearing up to cut interest rates this evening. The market is currently pricing in 32bp of tightening which means that investors expect the central bank to reduce rates by a minimum of 25bp. 50bp is a possibility but given some signs of improvement in Australia’s economy (jobs [...]

Compare the FOMC Statements April vs. March

Here’s my marked up version of the FOMC Statement with notable changes.

Compare with:
March FOMC Statement
Release Date: March 13, 2012
For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in January suggests that the economy has been expanding moderately. Labor market conditions have improved further; the unemployment rate has declined notably in recent months [...]